Development of mortality prediction model in the elderly hospitalized AKI patients.

Acute kidney injury (AKI) correlates with increased health-care costs and poor outcomes in older adults. However, there is no good scoring system to predict mortality within 30-day, 1-year after AKI in older adults. We performed a retrospective analysis screening data of 53,944 hospitalized elderly patients (age > 65 years) from multi-centers in China. 944 patients with AKI (acute kidney disease) were included and followed up for 1 year. Multivariable regression analysis was used for developing scoring models in the test group (a randomly 70% of all the patients). The established models have been verified in the validation group (a randomly 30% of all the patients). Model 1 that consisted of the risk factors for death within 30 days after AKI had accurate discrimination (The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves, AUROC: 0.90 (95% CI 0.875-0.932)) in the test group, and performed well in the validation groups (AUROC: 0.907 (95% CI 0.865-0.949)). The scoring formula of all-cause death within 1 year (model 2) is a seven-variable model including AKI type, solid tumor, renal replacement therapy, acute myocardial infarction, mechanical ventilation, the number of organ failures, and proteinuria. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curves of model 2 was > 0.80 both in the test and validation groups. Our newly established risk models can well predict the risk of all-cause death in older hospitalized AKI patients within 30 days or 1 year.

Human umbilical cord-derived mesenchymal stem cells and human cord blood mononuclear cells protect against cisplatin-induced acute kidney injury in rat models.

Human umbilical cord-derived mesenchymal stem cells (hUCMSCs) are a promising tool to attenuate cisplatin (CP)-induced acute kidney injury (AKI). However, whether the transplantation of human cord blood mononuclear cells (hCBMNCs) exhibits similar protective effects and their potential underlying mechanisms of action remain unclear. The present study aimed to determine the protective effects of hUCMSCs and hCBMNCs transplantation therapies on an established CP-induced rat model and explore their underlying mechanisms of action. A total of 24 Sprague-Dawley rats, selected based on body weight, were randomly assigned into 4 groups: i) normal control; ii) model (CP); iii) hCBMNCs (CP + hCBMNCs); and iv) hUCMSCs (CP + hUCMSCs). hUCMSCs (2.0x106 cells) and hCBMNCs (2.0x106 cells) were injected into the femoral vein of rats 24 h after CP (8 mg/kg) treatment. To determine the effects of hCBMNCs and hUCMSCs on CP-induced rats, renal function assessment and histological evaluations were performed. Expression levels of high mobility group box 1 (HMGB1) and the ratio of Bax/Bcl2 in renal tissues were detected to elucidate their underlying molecular mechanisms of action. The results demonstrated that transplantation of hUCMSCs and hCBMNCs significantly improved renal function in CP-induced AKI rats, as evidenced by the enhancement of renal morphology; decreased concentrations of blood urea nitrogen and serum creatinine; and a lower percentage of apoptotic renal tubular cells. The expression of HMGB1 and the ratio of Bax/Bcl-2 were significantly reduced in the hUCMSCs and hCBMNCs groups compared with CP group. In conclusion, the present study indicated that hCBMNCs exert similar protective effects to hUCMSCs on CP-induced AKI. hUCMSCs and hCBMNCs protect against CP-induced AKI by suppressing HMGB1 expression and preventing cell apoptosis.

Post-contrast acute kidney injury in a hospitalized population: short-, mid-, and long-term outcome and risk factors for adverse events.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the prognosis including major adverse kidney events within 30 days (MAKE30) and 90-day and 1-year adverse outcome in hospitalized patients with post-contrast acute kidney injury (PC-AKI) to identify high-risk factors. METHODS: This retrospective observational study included 288 PC-AKI patients selected from 277,898 patients admitted to hospitals from January 2015 to December 2015. PC-AKI was defined according to the 2018 guideline of European Society of Urogenital Radiology. Multivariable Cox regression and logistic regression analyses were used to analyze main outcome and risk factors. RESULTS: PC-AKI patients with AKI stage ≥ 2 had much higher incidence of MAKE30 than those with AKI stage 1 (RR = 7.027, 95% CI 4.918-10.039). Persistent renal dysfunction, heart failure, central nervous system failure, baseline eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2, oliguria or anuria, blood urea nitrogen ≥ 7.14 mmol/L, respiratory failure, and shock were independent risk factors of 90-day or 1-year adverse prognosis (p < 0.05). Compared with transient renal dysfunction, PC-AKI patients with persistent renal dysfunction had a higher all-cause mortality rate (RR = 3.768, 95% CI 1.612-8.810; RR = 4.106, 95% CI 1.765-9.551) as well as combined endpoints of death, chronic kidney disease, or end-stage renal disease (OR = 3.685, 95% CI 1.628-8.340; OR = 5.209, 95% CI 1.730-15.681) within 90 days or 1 year. CONCLUSIONS: PC-AKI is not always a transient, benign creatininopathy, but can result in adverse outcome. AKI stage is independently correlated to MAKE30 and persistent renal dysfunction may exaggerate the risk of long-term adverse events. KEY POINTS: • PC-AKI can result in adverse outcome such as persistent renal dysfunction, dialysis, chronic kidney disease (CKD), end-stage renal disease (ESRD), or death. • AKI stage is independently correlated to MAKE30. • Persistent renal dysfunction may exaggerate the risk of long-term adverse events.